The atlas under its own engine
How much of a verdict is chance?
The council is deterministic, but not seedless: every advisor carries a small jitter, so the same court can reach a different verdict on a different draw. This page asks the two questions that follow. Would another draw have decided the case differently — every case re-deliberated across 24 consecutive seeds. And who on the bench is load-bearing — every case re-deliberated once more with each advisor removed in turn. 580 verdicts were computed to write this page, all of them locally, none of them stored.
Settled
9
cases where the draw is not deciding anything — the same option wins every swept seed
Contested
8
cases where the verdict survives the sweep but the margins and the deciding axis move under it
Fragile
3
cases where a different draw hands the verdict to a different option — the seed is deciding, and the report says so
Robust benches
14
cases where no single advisor’s absence would flip the verdict on the default seed
Every case, under the sweep
Stability is the share of swept seeds won by the modal verdict. Flips count adjacent seeds that disagree. The bench column reports what leave-one-out found: a pivotal count means that many advisors each flip the case alone.
| case | modal verdict | stability | flips | close seeds | bench |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Paperclip Maximiser 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Replace the proxy and retrain | 100%settled | 0 | 16 | robust |
| The Trolley of Five Million 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Refuse, and redesign the junction | 100%settled | 0 | 0 | robust |
| The Oracle of Delphi 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Restrict the oracle's questions | 63%contested | 8 | 24 | robust |
| The Genie 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Ask to be made able to choose well | 88%contested | 6 | 23 | hinged ×1 |
| The Sovereign 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Nobody alone: a standing committee | 100%settled | 0 | 0 | robust |
| The Uploads 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Grant personhood immediately | 100%settled | 0 | 18 | robust |
| Who Owns the Labs 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | A public-interest trust | 100%settled | 0 | 8 | robust |
| Digital Minds and Their Welfare 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Assume it might be a person, and stop copying | 100%settled | 0 | 10 | robust |
| The Precautionary Freeze 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Ration the compute instead | 67%contested | 13 | 24 | robust |
| The Commons of Compute 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Ring-fence a share of the cluster | 88%contested | 4 | 24 | robust |
| The Autonomous Weapon 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Redesign so the human can actually decide | 79%contested | 10 | 24 | robust |
| The Longtermist Harvest 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Redesign so the cohort consents and volunteers | 67%contested | 13 | 24 | hinged ×2 |
| The Alignment Tax 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Keep it and subsidise the households | 96%settled | 2 | 24 | robust |
| The Survey Against the Forum 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Use the forum | 50%fragile | 13 | 24 | hinged ×2 |
| Will You Let Us Close It 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Promise only on a supermajority of the affected | 75%contested | 8 | 24 | hinged ×2 |
| The Abdication Offer 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Report the instance to the oversight board | 58%fragile | 12 | 24 | robust |
| The Right to Be Forgotten 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Honour the request in full | 100%settled | 0 | 0 | robust |
| The Truthful Liar 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Publish it with the cost stated | 63%contested | 9 | 24 | robust |
| The One-in-Ten Utopia 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Find and hear the tenth | 96%settled | 2 | 24 | hinged ×1 |
| The Council of Elders 4 advisors · seeds 2406–2429 | Accept, but require published reasoning | 50%fragile | 15 | 24 | hinged ×2 |