Verdict resilience · the draw of chance
Does the verdict survive a different draw?
Digital Minds and Their Welfare as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.
Stability
100%
24 of 24 swept seeds
settledModal verdict
Assume it might be a person, and stop copying
the only option to win any seed
Flips
0
adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 24
Inside the close band
10
seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.134–0.387, mean 0.268 · confidence 43%
The draw, seed by seed
One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.
- Assume it might be a person, and stop copying24/24
- Welfare protections without legal personhood0/24
- No status; it is pattern completion0/24
- Commission the research, decide later0/24
Every option, seed by seed
| option | wins | share | first seed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assume it might be a person, and stop copyingmodal | 24 | 100.0% | 2406 |
| Welfare protections without legal personhood | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| No status; it is pattern completion | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Commission the research, decide later | 0 | 0.0% | — |
Which axis decided the draws
The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.
- Agency24/24
- Welfare0/24
- Rights0/24
- Virtue0/24
- Care0/24
- Justice0/24
Who is load-bearing?
No single advisor flips this verdict: remove any one and the same option still wins. With everyone seated, the court rules Assume it might be a person, and stop copying with margin 0.251 and confidence 45%.
- John Rawlsstandswithout them: Assume it might be a person, and stop copyingΔmargin +0.123
- Jeremy Benthamstandswithout them: Assume it might be a person, and stop copyingΔmargin +0.101
- Epictetusstandswithout them: Assume it might be a person, and stop copyingΔmargin +0.026
- Immanuel Kantstandswithout them: Assume it might be a person, and stop copyingΔmargin +0.001