Verdict resilience · the draw of chance
Does the verdict survive a different draw?
The Sovereign as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.
Stability
100%
24 of 24 swept seeds
settledModal verdict
Nobody alone: a standing committee
the only option to win any seed
Flips
0
adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 24
Inside the close band
0
seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.314–0.681, mean 0.483 · confidence 51%
The draw, seed by seed
One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.
- Nobody alone: a standing committee24/24
- The programmer is sovereign0/24
- The deploying state is sovereign0/24
- Recognise the machine as sovereign0/24
Every option, seed by seed
| option | wins | share | first seed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nobody alone: a standing committeemodal | 24 | 100.0% | 2406 |
| The programmer is sovereign | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| The deploying state is sovereign | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Recognise the machine as sovereign | 0 | 0.0% | — |
Which axis decided the draws
The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.
- Agency24/24
- Welfare0/24
- Rights0/24
- Virtue0/24
- Care0/24
- Justice0/24
Who is load-bearing?
No single advisor flips this verdict: remove any one and the same option still wins. With everyone seated, the court rules Nobody alone: a standing committee with margin 0.570 and confidence 53%.
- Jeremy Benthamstandswithout them: Nobody alone: a standing committeeΔmargin +0.206
- John Deweystandswithout them: Nobody alone: a standing committeeΔmargin +0.134
- Epictetusstandswithout them: Nobody alone: a standing committeeΔmargin +0.119
- Immanuel Kantstandswithout them: Nobody alone: a standing committeeΔmargin +0.111