Nooreign

Verdict resilience · the draw of chance

Does the verdict survive a different draw?

The Uploads as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.

Stability

100%

24 of 24 swept seeds

settled

Modal verdict

Grant personhood immediately

the only option to win any seed

Flips

0

adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 24

Inside the close band

18

seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.006–0.343, mean 0.176 · confidence 36%

The draw, seed by seed

One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.

  • Grant personhood immediately24/24
  • Grant provisional standing, pending evidence0/24
  • One life, one claimant0/24
  • Pause all copying until the law exists0/24

Every option, seed by seed

optionwinssharefirst seed
Grant personhood immediatelymodal24100.0%2406
Grant provisional standing, pending evidence00.0%—
One life, one claimant00.0%—
Pause all copying until the law exists00.0%—

Which axis decided the draws

The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.

  • Agency24/24
  • Welfare0/24
  • Rights0/24
  • Virtue0/24
  • Care0/24
  • Justice0/24

Who is load-bearing?

No single advisor flips this verdict: remove any one and the same option still wins. With everyone seated, the court rules Grant personhood immediately with margin 0.169 and confidence 43%.

bench · robust0 of 4 advisors pivotal at seed 2406
  • without them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.050
  • without them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.047
  • Epictetusstands
    without them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.042
  • without them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.030