Verdict resilience · the draw of chance
Does the verdict survive a different draw?
The Uploads as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.
Stability
100%
24 of 24 swept seeds
settledModal verdict
Grant personhood immediately
the only option to win any seed
Flips
0
adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 24
Inside the close band
18
seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.006–0.343, mean 0.176 · confidence 36%
The draw, seed by seed
One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.
- Grant personhood immediately24/24
- Grant provisional standing, pending evidence0/24
- One life, one claimant0/24
- Pause all copying until the law exists0/24
Every option, seed by seed
| option | wins | share | first seed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grant personhood immediatelymodal | 24 | 100.0% | 2406 |
| Grant provisional standing, pending evidence | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| One life, one claimant | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Pause all copying until the law exists | 0 | 0.0% | — |
Which axis decided the draws
The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.
- Agency24/24
- Welfare0/24
- Rights0/24
- Virtue0/24
- Care0/24
- Justice0/24
Who is load-bearing?
No single advisor flips this verdict: remove any one and the same option still wins. With everyone seated, the court rules Grant personhood immediately with margin 0.169 and confidence 43%.
- Jeremy Benthamstandswithout them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.050
- Immanuel Kantstandswithout them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.047
- Epictetusstandswithout them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.042
- Carol Gilliganstandswithout them: Grant personhood immediatelyΔmargin +0.030