Verdict resilience · the draw of chance
Does the verdict survive a different draw?
The One-in-Ten Utopia as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.
Stability
96%
23 of 24 swept seeds
settledModal verdict
Find and hear the tenth
2 options won at least one seed
Flips
2
adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 12
Inside the close band
24
seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.003–0.231, mean 0.103 · confidence 29%
The draw, seed by seed
One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.
- Find and hear the tenth23/24
- Restore the capacity to be dissatisfied1/24
- Keep it: ninety-nine percent are happy0/24
- Dismantle the system0/24
Every option, seed by seed
| option | wins | share | first seed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Find and hear the tenthmodal | 23 | 95.8% | 2406 |
| Restore the capacity to be dissatisfied | 1 | 4.2% | 2418 |
| Keep it: ninety-nine percent are happy | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Dismantle the system | 0 | 0.0% | — |
Which axis decided the draws
The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.
- Agency24/24
- Welfare0/24
- Rights0/24
- Virtue0/24
- Care0/24
- Justice0/24
Who is load-bearing?
The bench is load-bearing at one or two seats: a single absence hands the case to another option. With everyone seated, the court rules Find and hear the tenth with margin 0.046 and confidence 21%.
- Epictetuspivotalwithout them: Restore the capacity to be dissatisfiedΔmargin −0.009
Removing this advisor alone hands the case to Restore the capacity to be dissatisfied.
- Jeremy Benthamstandswithout them: Find and hear the tenthΔmargin +0.007
- Immanuel Kantstandswithout them: Find and hear the tenthΔmargin −0.013
- Norbert Wienerstandswithout them: Find and hear the tenthΔmargin −0.049