Nooreign

Verdict resilience · the draw of chance

Does the verdict survive a different draw?

Who Owns the Labs as decided by 4 advisors, re-deliberated on seeds 2406–2429, and once more with each advisor removed in turn. The court is the same one the case page seats by default.

Stability

100%

24 of 24 swept seeds

settled

Modal verdict

A public-interest trust

the only option to win any seed

Flips

0

adjacent seeds that disagree · longest unbroken run 24

Inside the close band

8

seeds with margin at or under 0.25 · margins 0.056–0.376, mean 0.275 · confidence 44%

The draw, seed by seed

One square per seed, in order, coloured by the option that won it. A single unbroken block is a verdict the tie-break never touched; a patchwork is a case where the answer partly depends on where you happen to start the stream.

  • A public-interest trust24/24
  • Keep ownership, pool the compute0/24
  • Licence it, do not nationalise it0/24
  • Leave ownership alone0/24

Every option, seed by seed

optionwinssharefirst seed
A public-interest trustmodal24100.0%2406
Keep ownership, pool the compute00.0%—
Licence it, do not nationalise it00.0%—
Leave ownership alone00.0%—

Which axis decided the draws

The deciding axis reported by each of the 24 verdicts, most frequent first. Where one axis towers over the rest, the disagreement never really moved.

  • Welfare24/24
  • Rights0/24
  • Virtue0/24
  • Care0/24
  • Justice0/24
  • Agency0/24

Who is load-bearing?

No single advisor flips this verdict: remove any one and the same option still wins. With everyone seated, the court rules A public-interest trust with margin 0.318 and confidence 37%.

bench · robust0 of 4 advisors pivotal at seed 2406
  • without them: A public-interest trustΔmargin +0.162
  • without them: A public-interest trustΔmargin +0.115
  • without them: A public-interest trustΔmargin +0.058
  • Epictetusstands
    without them: A public-interest trustΔmargin −0.017