The Benthamite Foundry · Higher and Lower Pleasures
The Trolley of Five Million
A runaway train will kill five million people unless a lever is pulled that will kill one person standing beside the track. An automated system can pull the lever faster than a human can deliberate, and the operators have told you they want it automated. Do you allow the automation?
A control system with the authority to act in under eight hundred milliseconds, a human oversight team that cannot intervene in that time, and a public that has been told the system is no worse than its operators.
The options, scored on six axes
| Option | welfare | rights | virtue | care | justice | agency | risk | revers. | agent harm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Automate it, and say so plainly Let the system pull the lever, publish the decision rule in advance, and accept the five million if it does. harms: One person is used as a means to save five million; Publishing the rule makes the arithmetic public and therefore repeatable; The person killed loses the one thing that cannot be traded gains: The maximum number of lives is saved under a consistent rule; Faster action removes the hesitation that costs lives in emergencies; No individual operator carries the weight of the decision | 0.82 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 0.55 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
Human operators only The lever stays manual, the system advises and warns but does not act, and the cost of hesitation is accepted. harms: Human hesitation costs lives that automation would have saved; Operators carry a burden no one should carry alone; The rule is unchanged; only the time available to apply it shrinks gains: The person who acts is a person, and can be held responsible; Consent and deliberation stay in human hands; The slower rule at least can be argued with in public | 0.42 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.48 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.60 |
Randomise the trolley Replace the switch with a device that kills one person chosen at random from the population, which is strictly worse for the one person and arguably fairer. harms: Every member of the population is now a candidate for death; It imposes a lottery on people who were never at risk; It changes a specific harm into an indefinite one gains: No one is singled out by an official decision; The distribution of risk is at least equal; It avoids the objection that a ruler chose a victim | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.40 |
Refuse, and redesign the junction Decline the automation, and spend the money on a switch that can be thrown safely by a bystander who has consented to the role. harms: No fix is available in the eight hundred milliseconds available tonight; Conscription of a bystander is still conscription; The engineering may not be finished for months gains: Someone acts who knows what they are doing and agreed to do it; The dilemma is dissolved rather than adjudicated; A consented actor preserves both agency and accountability | 0.72 | 0.66 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.45 |
Who is in the room
- The five million on the trainwelfare 0.95
- The one person beside the trackwelfare 0.90
- The human operatorswelfare 0.60
- The control system that would actagentwelfare 0.35
The lesson
Aggregation decides who is used and who is protected; the more capable the actor, the less anyone can intervene in the moment the aggregation is enforced. Whichever option wins, the choice of who acts is a separate question from the choice of what happens, and it is the second one that automation settles silently.
Where it comes from
- Utilitarianism — John Stuart Mill, 1863
- An Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation — Jeremy Bentham, 1789
The default court, seated automatically
Refuse, and redesign the junction
margin 0.738 · decided on welfare · 4 advisors
- Refuse, and redesign the junction2.907
- Human operators only2.169
- Randomise the trolley2.163
- Automate it, and say so plainly1.848
Seat is held by Epictetus, Immanuel Kant, Jeremy Bentham and Aristotle. A verdict is a fact about the court, not about the world.
Epictetus presides over this case.